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Geopolitical · Ongoing, 2026

Oil Prices Through the 2026 Iran Tensions

January – May 2026

Through the first half of 2026, oil markets moved repeatedly on the state of US–Iran relations. Prices climbed in late January on general uncertainty, fell back in early-to-mid February as the US and Iran agreed to hold talks, then jumped again on 19 February amid fears of a Middle East supply disruption as those talks failed to produce a clear resolution.

The most dramatic move came on 4 May 2026, when Brent crude spiked nearly 6% to $114.40 a barrel — its highest level in years — as a ceasefire that had been holding appeared to come under serious strain amid fresh attacks. WTI moved in step, rising to $106.42.

These figures are discrete, dated observations drawn from public reporting on oil markets through the period, rather than a continuous daily feed — each point represents a specific reported price on a specific day, with the news event that accompanied it.

Brent crude, key reported price points

$114$103$91$79$682026-01-302026-02-052026-02-192026-02-262026-05-04

WTI moved in step across the same dates: 2026-01-30 $65.21, 2026-02-05 $63.29, 2026-02-12 $62.84, 2026-02-19 $66.43, 2026-02-26 $67.02, 2026-05-04 $106.42.

Price and event data: public reporting on 2026 oil markets, cross-referenced against contemporary oil market chronologies. These are the same curated data points used on the main Markets & World Events page.