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POLICY WATCH

North Sea Oil & Gas — Rosebank and Jackdaw

⏳ NOT YET DECIDED — formal decision due after 17 August 2026 — Unlike the other pages on this tracker, this is not a confirmed policy — it's a live decision still being made. Two North Sea fields, Rosebank (oil) and Jackdaw (gas), already hold exploration licences and were approved to produce in 2022-23, but a court ruled those approvals unlawful in 2025 for failing to account for downstream emissions. Both projects are now going through a fresh approval process, with a public consultation closing 17 August 2026, after which Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh will make the final call. Reports suggest Burnham's team has asked the civil service to prepare options for backing the projects, but no decision has actually been made, and Downing Street has explicitly declined to comment on individual projects.

2022–23
Original production consent granted
2025
Consent overturned by legal challenge
17 Aug 2026
Public consultation closes

How this actually works

This isn't really a single policy decision — it's several overlapping legal, regulatory, and political processes at once. Rosebank and Jackdaw already have exploration licences (permission to look for oil and gas), which Labour's 2024 manifesto commitment not to issue new licences doesn't affect, since those licences already existed. What's actually undecided is production consent — permission to extract and sell what's found. Both fields had production consent granted in 2022-23, but the Supreme Court ruled in a related case that regulators must consider the climate impact of burning the fuel once extracted (not just the emissions from extracting it), not just when granting a licence — this set a precedent that applied retroactively to Rosebank and Jackdaw's approvals, which is why they were overturned in 2025. Both developers have now resubmitted environmental assessments accounting for downstream emissions, and it's this fresh assessment that the government is currently consulting on. Approving these two specific projects would not require issuing any new licence and would therefore not break the manifesto pledge in a strict legal sense — but it would represent Labour approving fossil fuel production it previously distanced itself from, which is the real political tension here.

The numbers

2022–23
Original production consent granted
2025
Consent overturned by legal challenge
17 Aug 2026
Public consultation closes
2
Fields under consideration (Rosebank, Jackdaw)
Miatta Fahnbulleh
Energy Secretary who will decide
0
New licences this would require (both already exist)

Timeline

2022–2023
Regulators approve production consent for Rosebank (oil, owned by Adura — a joint venture of Equinor and Ithaca Energy) and Jackdaw (gas, owned by Shell), under the then Conservative government.
January 2025
Following a Supreme Court ruling that downstream emissions (from eventually burning the extracted fuel) must be considered when approving drilling — not just extraction emissions — a legal challenge from Greenpeace and Uplift succeeds, and both fields' production consents are ruled unlawful.
August 2025
The Energy Department confirms it won't fight the judicial reviews against Jackdaw and Rosebank, saying this “will save the taxpayer money” — effectively accepting the developments need fresh approval rather than continuing to defend the original consents.
September 2025
The renewed approval process for Rosebank formally begins, requiring developers to submit new environmental assessments that account for downstream emissions.
June 2026
Shell and Adura (Rosebank's developer) submit their final downstream emissions reports as part of the renewed assessment process.
Early July 2026
The UK government opens a public consultation notice period on the renewed assessments.
Mid-July 2026
The oil and gas industry, alongside trade unions, send Burnham and Labour MPs a letter urging them to "back North Sea oil and gas," framing it as a signal the country remains committed to domestic energy production and manufacturing jobs.
20 July 2026
Burnham becomes Prime Minister but does not announce a North Sea decision in his first speech, despite some expectation that he would — reports suggest plans are being prepared but not yet finalised.
17 August 2026
The public consultation period is due to close. After this, Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh — not Burnham directly, since individual project approvals aren't a full cabinet decision — will make the formal call on both fields.

Who it actually helps

North Sea oil and gas workers and supply chain
Industry and unions frame approval as protecting existing jobs and supporting further technical training opportunities in Scotland — this is the core argument behind the industry letter sent to Burnham and Labour MPs.
UK energy security, in the government's framing
Supporters argue domestic production reduces reliance on imports, a case that has gained political weight since renewed Middle East conflict pushed global oil prices above $100 a barrel.
Rosebank and Jackdaw's developers and investors
Equinor's chief executive has publicly pushed for approval, warning that further delay damages the UK's reputation as a predictable place to invest — Adura (Rosebank's developer) argues the project is consistent with the UK's 2050 net-zero target, a claim environmental campaigners strongly dispute.
If refused: climate campaigners and Shetland/Aberdeen environmental groups
Campaign groups including Uplift, Greenpeace, and the Shetland-based "Shetland Stop Rosebank" movement (active since 2021) argue new production undermines the UK's climate commitments and want both fields refused, not just delayed.

What's being given up to pay for it

This is fundamentally a two-sided trade-off rather than a funded-vs-unfunded question like the other pages on this tracker: approving Rosebank and Jackdaw would support domestic energy jobs and production, and would not technically breach the manifesto's no-new-licences pledge — but it would put a Labour government in the position of actively approving significant new fossil fuel extraction, at a moment when its own Energy Secretary previously called the Rosebank licence "climate vandalism" while in opposition. Scotland's First Minister has separately called developing Rosebank "the wrong decision." Refusing both projects, conversely, avoids that political and climate contradiction but risks the investment-confidence and jobs arguments industry has raised, and leaves open the accusation — already being made — that a government under pressure on the cost of living is unwilling to back domestic energy production that could, in industry's telling, help with exactly that.

Reactions

Anders OpedalCEO, Equinor (Rosebank co-developer)

The Energy Secretary ought to issue new permits for Rosebank and Jackdaw to ensure the UK is a predictable country for investors. Reading the Labour manifesto, Rosebank is an existing licence for an existing field that we are now developing.

Oil and gas industry and trade unionsJoint letter to Burnham and Labour MPs

Support for the oil and gas industry is a signal that the country remains committed to producing, building and manufacturing — a signal that government backs the people and places that have powered this country for generations.

Ed MilibandFormer (and possibly incoming) Energy Secretary, on the original Rosebank approval

Climate vandalism.

Humza YousafScotland's First Minister, on the original Rosebank decision

I think Rosebank is the wrong decision. Scotland's future, the north east's future, is as the net zero capital not just of Europe but, I hope, of the world.

Where things stand

Genuinely undecided. The public consultation on both fields' renewed environmental assessments closes 17 August 2026, after which Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh will make the formal decision — not Burnham personally, since individual project approvals sit outside full cabinet decisions. Government sources say Burnham is personally expected to lean supportive, but stress no final call has been made, and Number 10 has declined to comment on individual projects. We'll build out this page properly — costs, jobs figures, emissions estimates — once an actual decision is announced.

Figures and quotes sourced from government press releases, HM Treasury, the Office for Budget Responsibility, and contemporary news coverage. This is a fast-moving story — costings marked "provisional" may change at the Budget, and we'll update this page as they do. We've aimed to separate confirmed facts from stated positions throughout; NewsDeck's own editorial opinion on this policy, if we have one, lives separately in The Editor's Take, clearly labelled as opinion.